Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Home sales sink, outlook darkens

Pace of pending sales slows again; realtors now see biggest drop in home values at start of '08; forecast for price rebound pushed back to '09.

Contracts to sell existing homes fell in November and there could be darker days ahead for home values, which are expected to post their biggest decline on record this quarter as a full-year rebound in prices now isn't expected until 2009, according to an industry trade group.

The National Association of Realtors' Pending Home Sales Index, which measures the level of sales agreements, fell 2.6 percent to 87.6 in November, turning lower after two months of modest improvement from a record low hit in August. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com had forecast only a 0.8 percent decline.

The Realtors also cut its existing home price estimate for the current quarter to a 5.3 percent year-over-year decline, which would mean the current period would see the steepest drop in
that price measure on record.

Only a month ago the group's estimate was for only a 2.5 percent drop in prices in the first quarter.

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