Wednesday, November 28, 2007

U.S. Economy: Confidence Drops More Than Predicted

Consumer confidence fell more than forecast in November as Americans struggled with surging fuel costs and falling home prices.

The Conference Board's confidence index decreased to 87.3, the lowest level since the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005, the New York-based group said today. House values dropped 4.5 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, the most since records began in 1988, S&P/Case-Shiller reported separately today.

The gloomier mood increases the likelihood that holiday sales, which account for a fifth of retailers' yearly revenue, will be disappointing. Federal Reserve policy makers and private economists have cut growth forecasts as the housing slump enters its third year and jeopardizes consumer spending.

``This is a strong indication that consumers are going to pull back sharply and growth is going to be very weak,'' said Nigel Gault, chief U.S. economist at Global Insight Inc. in Lexington, Massachusetts. ``The message to the Fed should be that they need to keep cutting rates.''

October's confidence reading was revised down to 95.2, from a previously reported 95.6. None of the 67 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News predicted the size of the decline. The median forecast was 91.

Stocks Jump

Treasury securities dropped and stock prices rose as investors focused on news that Citigroup Inc. will receive a cash infusion from Abu Dhabi's government. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 215 points, or 1.9 percent, to close at 12,958.44.

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