Monday, October 29, 2007

Vultures eyeing mortgage corpse

Opportunistic investors have raised huge sums to buy mortgage-backed debt, but are not yet swooping down - a sign the beleaguered securities have further to fall.

Since the subprime crisis erupted earlier this year, vulture investors looking for bargains have been circling battered securities backed by mortgages.

But the feeding has not yet begun in earnest - and that's not a good sign for the housing and credit markets.

While opportunistic investors may be reviled by some, their presence is often an indication that a beaten down market has reached a bottom. The longer they stay away, the more likely it is that turmoil will roil the market.

"[Distressed debt investors] are a good thing for the market - they're a new force for providing liquidity," said Mark Adelson, an independent mortgage securities analyst.

For sure, vulture investors are getting ready to strike. Fundraising in the first nine months of the year hit a record $6.6 billion, according to London-based Private Equity Intelligence.

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