This week's chart shows U.S. economy gradually sliding into recession. This indicator is the average year-to-year change of about twenty measures. Many are real measures, like tons or units, so some of false impressions created by incorrect price calculations are avoided. Only recently has the collapse of the housing sector been acknowledged as a serious negative on U.S. economy. Many have mistakenly believed Wall Street could “feed” the nation.
Then, CAT reported earnings last week, slapping the deluded economic prognosticators awake. Burlington Northern has reported that shipment volumes fell 5% in last quarter. A freight car not carrying corn, is a freight car in a recession. As shown in the chart, the U.S. economy is moving toward stagnation, and will deteriorate further in 2008.
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