Friday, April 18, 2008

Economy: The bad news is there is no good news

Higher unemployment claims and weak readings from two economic indexes reinforced recession worries Thursday.

The Labor Department said Thursday that applications for unemployment benefits rose to 372,000, an increase of 17,000 from the previous week.

Separately, the New York-based Conference Board's gauge of future economic activity rose 0.1 percent for March, reversing five months of decline. But the private business group's indicator has shown a 3.3 percent annual rate of decline since March 2007.

That's ''the kind of result, that whenever we've seen it in the past, the U.S. economy has been heading into a recession,'' Michael Gregory, senior economist for BMO Nesbitt Burns, a Toronto investment bank. ''The recession signal here is clear and unequivocal.''

The Conference Board index is designed to forecast economic activity in the next three to six months based on 10 economic components, including stock prices, building permits and initial claims for unemployment benefits.

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